Stellantis NV Earnings - Q2 2025 Analysis & Highlights

Key Takeaways

The Stellantis Q2 2025 earnings call highlighted a tough first half with sequential improvements, new product launches, and a focus on growth, execution, and profitability. Key discussion points included financial performance, regional segment results, tariff impacts, and future guidance.

Key Financial Results

  • Consolidated shipments decreased by 7% to 2.7 million units.
  • Net revenue declined by 13% to €74 billion.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share generally tracked AOI development.
  • Industrial free cash flow was an outflow of €3 billion in the first half.
  • AOI came in at €540 million with a 70-basis point margin.
  • Pricing was down 2% in the first half of 2025.
  • Business Segment Results

  • North America was impacted by tariffs, lower fleet performance, and improved inventory discipline.
  • Europe's results reflected lower industry volumes in LCVs, product transition gaps, and a €500 million provision for a campaign on a 1.5-liter diesel engine.
  • South America reflected continued market share leadership and industry growth in Brazil and Argentina.
  • Middle East and Africa experienced FX headwinds due to a decline in the Turkish lira, around €600 million, but continued business momentum.
  • Capital Allocation

  • Industrial liquidity finished the first half at €47 billion, consisting of €31 billion of cash and liquid securities.
  • The €31 billion was bolstered by first half bond issuances of €3.6 billion.
  • Liquidity figure includes €16 billion in undrawn committed credit facilities.
  • Industry Trends and Dynamics

  • 13% lower industry volumes in LCVs in Europe.
  • Industry growth in South America, specifically in Brazil and Argentina.
  • Macroeconomic Environment

  • Adverse effects from tariffs and foreign exchange headwinds.
  • FX headwinds to AOI in the Middle East and Africa due to a decline in the Turkish lira, constituting around €600 million.
  • Net tariff expense for the year expected to be approximately €1.5 billion.
  • Growth Opportunities and Strategies

  • Launching 10 new products in 2025, including B-segment products in Europe and iconic nameplates in North America.
  • Focus on improving industrial execution, product quality, and reinvigorating fleet channels performance.
  • Reintroducing the SRT division for North American brands to create distinctive, high-performance products.
  • Ramping up production of Smart Car products in Europe.
  • Bringing back iconic products and powertrains such as the Jeep Cherokee, Dodge Charger ICE, and HEMI V8 engine in the US.
  • Improving customer experience through elevated product quality in both North America and Europe.
  • Focusing on growth in North America by launching new products with accretive AOI margins.
  • Financial Guidance and Outlook

  • Net revenues are expected to increase half-over-half.
  • AOI margin is expected to be in the low-single-digits.
  • Improvements in industrial free cash flow are expected compared to the first half of 2025.
  • Long-term strategic plan to be presented at a Capital Markets Day in early 2026.
  • Brand Portfolio Management

  • Aiming to be more effective and efficient in brand portfolio management.
  • Recruiting talents to take care of brands from the market.
  • Relationship with US Dealers

  • Committed to a much better dialogue with the dealer network.
  • Order book grew more than 90% year-over-year.