Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Earnings - Q4 2025 Analysis & Highlights

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.'s Q4 2025 earnings call highlighted strong performance in its Growth Portfolio, significant pipeline advancements, and a commitment to cost savings and strategic business development, while providing 2026 financial guidance that reflects continued growth despite Legacy Portfolio declines.

Key Financial Results

  • Total revenue in the fourth quarter was flat year-over-year at approximately $12.5 billion.
  • Diluted earnings per share were $1.26 for the quarter, and full-year diluted earnings per share came in at $6.15.
  • Gross margin declined 210 basis points in the fourth quarter to 71.9%, driven primarily by product mix, notably Eliquis and Revlimid.
  • Operating expenses for the full year were $16.6 billion, a decrease of $1.2 billion from 2024.
  • Business Segment Results

  • The Growth Portfolio revenue increased 15% to $7.4 billion and represented close to 60% of total revenue in the quarter.
  • Reblozyl delivered 21% growth, reflecting solid uptake across first and second-line MDS-associated anemia patients.
  • Breyanzi's fourth quarter revenue was up 47%, driven by its desirable profile and continued strong demand across its approved indications.
  • Eliquis delivered nearly $3.5 billion in fourth quarter revenue, an increase of 6%, driven by demand growth and market share gains.
  • Camzyos revenue in the fourth quarter grew 57% to $353 million, benefiting from continued demand growth globally.
  • Opdivo delivered solid growth in the fourth quarter, with revenue up 7% to nearly $2.7 billion.
  • Qvantig's launch continued to progress well, with revenue of $133 million in the quarter.
  • Opdualag delivered another quarter of strong double-digit growth, driven by demand in the US, where it remains a standard of care in first-line melanoma.
  • Cobenfy revenue in the fourth quarter was $51 million, with continued steady uptake among prescribers and patients.
  • Capital Allocation

  • The company has approximately $11 billion in cash equivalents and marketable securities as of December 31, 2025.
  • $10 billion of debt paydown was completed ahead of schedule.
  • Cash flow from operations was approximately $2 billion in the fourth quarter.
  • Business development remains a top priority, while also returning cash to shareholders through commitment to the dividend.
  • Industry Trends and Dynamics

  • Triple-negative breast cancer remains an aggressive disease with an urgent need for new treatment options.
  • IPF and PPF are progressive pulmonary diseases with less than 50% five-year overall survival rates, indicating a significant need for newer therapies.
  • AFib is a very large market where milvexian has the potential to replace first-generation DOACs.
  • Fear of bleeding continues to be the main reason why clinicians hold back from using Factor Xs in more patients.
  • Roughly 40% of AFib patients remain either untreated or undertreated, leaving them at risk for a stroke.
  • Competitive Landscape

  • Breyanzi is now approved across five cancer types, strengthening its leadership position among CD19-directed CAR Ts.
  • Cobenfy's uptake has surpassed all schizophrenia comparators and relevant analogs in the first year of launch.
  • Eliquis has approximately 75% NRx share in the US.
  • Opdualag has over a 30% market share in first-line metastatic melanoma.
  • The company's total market share in metastatic melanoma is now over 65%.
  • CELMoD portfolio is in a competitive and fragmented market, but there is a need for more effective and safe treatment options.
  • Admilparant is a potential first-in-class product that could redefine the standard of care in pulmonary fibrosis.
  • Milvexian has the potential to be best-in-class in SSP and the only Factor XI oral therapy in AFib.
  • Growth Opportunities and Strategies

  • The Growth Portfolio grew 15% year-over-year in Q4 and 17% for the full year.
  • Opdualag, Breyanzi, and Camzyos each contributed over $1 billion in sales for the full year, while Reblozyl delivered over $2 billion.
  • The company expects to report top line registrational data for six potential new products in 2026: milvexian (atrial fibrillation and secondary stroke prevention), admilparant (idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis), iberdomide, mezigdomide, Arlo-cel (relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma), and RYZ101 (second-line-plus GEP-NETs).
  • Meaningful pivotal line extension readouts are anticipated for Sotyktu in lupus and Cobenfy in Alzheimer's disease psychosis.
  • The company is expanding the use of AI to move faster, operate leaner, and reinvest strategically in growth.
  • Pumitamig development partnership recently announced three additional planned studies, resulting in eight registrational studies expected to be underway by year-end.
  • Opdivo subcu formulation (Qvantig) is seeing uptake across multiple tumor types, including monotherapy and combination settings.
  • The company expects physicians to convert 30% to 40% of the IV business to Qvantig ahead of the LOE.
  • Financial Guidance and Outlook

  • 2026 revenue is anticipated in the range of $46 billion to $47.5 billion.
  • Eliquis growth in 2026 is projected to be in the range of 10% to 15%.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share are expected to be between $6.05 and $6.35.
  • Gross margin is expected to be between 69% to 70% in 2026.
  • Total operating expenses are expected to decline from 2025 levels to approximately $16.3 billion.
  • OI&E expense is expected to be approximately $700 million, reflecting the expiry of the royalty-bearing license of diabetes products at the end of 2025.
  • The tax rate is expected to be approximately 18%.
  • 2027 Eliquis sales compared to 2026 are expected to show a step-down in the range of $1.5 billion to $2 billion.
  • EU patents for Eliquis largely expire late in 2026, which will be a factor in 2027.