RTX Corporation Earnings - Q1 2026 Analysis & Highlights

RTX Corporation reported strong Q1 2026 results driven by robust defense demand and commercial aerospace growth, with significant momentum in munitions production, framework agreements for critical defense systems, and operational improvements across all three business segments.

Key Financial Results

  • Adjusted sales of $22.1 billion, up 10% organically with growth across all three channels
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.78, up 21% year-over-year, driven by 14% growth in segment operating profit
  • Free cash flow of $1.3 billion, up $500 million from Q1 last year
  • Book-to-bill ratio of 1.14 with record backlog of $271 billion, up 25% year-over-year
  • Adjusted segment operating profit of $2.9 billion, up 14% year-over-year
  • Consolidated segment margin expansion of 70 basis points with contributions from all three segments
  • GAAP earnings per share from continuing operations of $1.51, including $0.27 of acquisition accounting adjustments
  • Debt paydown of $500 million in the quarter
  • Business Segment Results

  • Collins segment sales of $7.6 billion, up 10% organically, with commercial OE up 15%, commercial aftermarket up 7%, and defense up 9%
  • Collins adjusted operating profit of $1.3 billion, up $71 million versus prior year, with 10 basis points of margin expansion despite 130 basis point tariff headwind
  • Pratt & Whitney sales of $8.2 billion, up 10% organically, driven by commercial aftermarket up 19% and military engines up 7%, while commercial OE was down 1%
  • Pratt adjusted operating profit of $711 million, up $121 million versus prior year, with 70 basis points of margin expansion despite 50 basis point tariff headwind
  • Raytheon sales of $6.9 billion, up 9% organically, driven by higher volume on land and air defense systems including Patriot and GEM-T, and naval munitions programs
  • Raytheon adjusted operating profit of $845 million, up $167 million versus prior year, with 150 basis points of margin expansion driven by favorable mix and increased productivity
  • Raytheon bookings of $6.6 billion with book-to-bill of 0.96 and backlog of $74 billion
  • Raytheon rolling 12-month book-to-bill of 1.48
  • Capital Allocation

  • $900 million invested in CapEx over the last three years at Tucson, Huntsville, and Andover locations to expand munitions production capacity
  • $200 million investment announced to expand capabilities at Columbus, Georgia facility supporting GTF and F135 programs
  • $115 million expansion completed at Redstone Missile Integration Facility in Huntsville, increasing munitions capacity by over 50%
  • Significant additional investments planned to advance production capabilities and add new manufacturing lines to support framework agreements
  • $500 million debt paydown in Q1 2026
  • Industry Trends and Dynamics

  • Munitions output at Raytheon up over 40% year-over-year in Q1
  • Material receipts at Raytheon up 13% year-over-year in Q1 with 12 consecutive quarters of material growth
  • GTF-powered aircraft surpassed 2,700 deliveries with Pratt powering about 45% of A320 deliveries to-date, ahead of roughly 40% sold program share
  • GTF program achieved 10 years in service with over 50 million flight hours and backlog of about 8,000 engines
  • PW1100 AOGs down around 15% compared to end of last year
  • PW1100 MRO output up 23% year-over-year in Q1 on top of 35% growth in Q1 2025
  • Commercial OE in first quarter in line with expectations with continued production ramps expected across multiple platforms
  • Solid RPK growth despite Middle East disruption with aircraft retirement rates below historical levels
  • Raytheon signed five landmark framework agreements with Department for Critical Munitions including Tomahawk, AMRAAM, and Standard Missile family
  • Competitive Landscape

  • Pratt powering about 45% of A320 deliveries to-date, ahead of roughly 40% sold program share
  • GTF advantage aircraft certification received, incorporating a decade of learning to deliver step change in performance and time on wing
  • Coyote non-kinetic variant successfully demonstrated, providing lower cost counter UAS capability that can be recalled and redeployed
  • Collins completed successful flight test of mission autonomy software for US Air Force's collaborative combat aircraft program
  • Hybrid electric propulsion system successfully operated at full power for turboprop demonstrator, expected to drive 30% improvement in fuel efficiency
  • Macroeconomic Environment

  • Tariff impact of approximately $75 million year-over-year tailwind expected for full year with continued mitigation implementation
  • IEEPA tariffs overturned and replaced with Section 122 and Section 232 tariffs, with tariff impact on balance about the same
  • Approximately $500 million paid associated with IEEPA tariffs with government refund process underway
  • No change to full year tariff outlook recorded in guidance
  • Unemployment at 4.3% creating challenges for attracting and retaining labor, particularly classified labor requiring security clearances
  • Global events being closely monitored with dynamic environment but underlying demand for OE products and aftermarket services remaining durable
  • Higher fuel prices impacting airline decisions on capacity adjustments and aircraft retirements
  • Growth Opportunities and Strategies

  • Framework agreements providing long-term firm demand signals to enable supply chain investment in people, tooling, test equipment and capacity
  • Collaborative funding approach in framework agreements to preserve upfront free cash flow
  • Increased production at Tucson, Huntsville, and Andover to support framework agreements over next decade
  • Defense industrial base needing additional suppliers to improve overall resiliency, with firm demand incentivizing quality suppliers from other industries
  • Department of War partnering with suppliers to provide strategic capital for balance sheet strength and investments
  • GTF advantage retrofit package (Hot Section Plus) with 30 to 35 parts providing almost 95% of durability benefits, to be introduced into MRO later this year
  • Pratt's MRO facility in Singapore developed industry-leading robotics achieving 100% first pass yield and reducing assembly time by 50%
  • 80% increase in output at Singapore facility over last two years with capabilities being deployed across MRO sites
  • 60% of annual manufacturing hours expected to be connected to proprietary data and analytics platform by end of year
  • Real-time data utilization by Collins wheels and brakes team to improve service life understanding and inventory management
  • Capacity expansion at Collins to support recently awarded FAA contract for radar systems and air traffic modernization opportunities
  • Raytheon completing $115 million expansion of Redstone Missile Integration Facility increasing capacity by over 50%
  • Pratt announcing $200 million investment to expand Columbus, Georgia facility supporting GTF and F135 programs
  • Coyote system in strong demand both domestically and internationally with FMS case approved for UAE
  • Platform-agnostic supplier opportunities for mission systems, autonomy, and propulsion on lower-cost platforms
  • Financial Guidance and Outlook

  • Full year adjusted sales outlook raised by $500 million to range of $92.5 billion to $93.5 billion, up from prior range of $92 billion to $93 billion
  • 5% to 6% organic sales growth expected for full year at RTX level
  • Commercial OE sales expected to grow mid-single-digits for full year
  • Commercial aftermarket sales expected to grow high single-digits for full year
  • Defense sales expected to grow mid to high single-digits for full year, up from prior expectation of mid-single-digits
  • Adjusted EPS outlook increased $0.10 on both low and high end of range
  • Adjusted EPS guidance of $6.70 to $6.90 for full year, up from prior range of $6.50 to $6.80
  • Approximately $0.05 of drop through on higher Raytheon sales with rest from lower interest expense
  • Free cash flow outlook of $8.25 billion to $8.75 billion for full year maintained
  • Collins sales expected to grow mid-single-digits on adjusted basis and high single digits organically
  • Collins operating profit growth of $425 million to $525 million versus 2025
  • Pratt sales expected to grow mid-single-digits on adjusted and organic basis
  • Pratt operating profit growth of $225 million to $325 million versus 2025
  • Raytheon sales expected to grow high single-digits on adjusted and organic basis
  • Raytheon operating profit growth of $275 million to $375 million versus 2025, up from prior expectation of $200 million to $300 million
  • Mid to high single-digit large commercial engine delivery growth expected for full year
  • No changes to commercial outlook for the year based on current environment
  • Approximately $170 million of powder metal-related compensation included in Q1 free cash flow
  • Operational Performance and Execution

  • GTF financial and technical outlook remains on track
  • GTF shipments in line with expectations for Q1
  • Heavy shop visit turnaround time improving by about 20% enabling AOG reduction
  • PW1100 inductions up 7% sequentially from Q4 to Q1
  • Structural castings up 10% year-over-year and isothermal forgings up 18% year-over-year
  • Pratt Canada diverse business with 70,000 units in service
  • V2500 fleet young with 50% not having had first or second shop visit
  • V2500 shop visits expected at run rate of about 800 for full year
  • 1% to 2% retirement rates expected for V2500 fleet
  • Interiors business sales up low teens in first quarter
  • Interiors business expecting solid growth for full year