4 min read
Executive commentary shows signs of recovery in China
April 7, 2020
15+ min read
As the first country affected by Coronavirus, the world has focused on China as a leading indicator of how quickly other economies might expect to recuperate. Throughout Q1 earnings calls, executives have been asked about the virus’s impact on their bottom line. So which industries and companies are showing recovery signals in the first market hit by the pandemic?
To understand which companies have been commenting on China, look at the commentary we compiled below.
- Honeywell, McDonald’s, Airbus, and 3M say that they remain cautiously optimistic that recovery in China will continue slowly but surely.
- Starbucks says that, barring any new disruptions, their business in China is on a path to a substantial recovery by the end of this fiscal year.
- PPG says their factories in China are running at 70% to 80% capacity utilization, moving closer to their 2019 levels.
- LVMH noted an acceleration in online sales, signaling early signs of recovery in Mainland China, Taiwan, and Korea despite closures earlier in the quarter.
- Exxon Mobil says that April sales are back in line and slightly above the same last quarter in three of their key businesses.
- QSR says that more than 80% of their restaurants are open, reflecting a strong recovery in China after the peak crisis in February.
- PVH says down 30% in China, expecting April to be down 20% and May to down 10-15%
- Lamb Weston says traffic in China has rebounded to 70% of normalized levels.
- Link Real Estate Investment Trust says footfall dropped significantly in February, it is now showing early signs of returning, and more than 80% of tenants have resumed operations. However, most entertainment tenants are still closed, such as cinemas and gyms.
AlphaSense can track management commentary across the entire market, industry, or watchlist. We expect this to be an exciting theme to follow throughout the earnings season. Start your free trial of AlphaSense now, or log in to your account.
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles – Earnings Call Transcript – 5/5
Answer – Michael M. Manley: Obviously, the only example that we are seeing today is the recovery of China. And I think the China market came back relatively quicker than people had expected. I saw several comments from players who are much bigger than us in China, who were delighted with the speed that came back. I think you’ll probably visit different rates now in the UU.S. Europe and in LATAM. And part of that will be how deep the drop is. And I think it will be — and it has been more profound in different markets. So far, the decline in the U.S.has not been as deep as people expected. So I think what you will see is intervention in the UU.S.not aimed specifically at our industry. Still, I think you will see intervention in the UU.S.in terms of getting the economy restarted again because as UU.S.entered this crisis, the underlying economy was very, very strong. And I’m sure the administration is looking to get it back to that level.
In Europe, it may well be different speeds depending on the market. For example, if you take Italy, I think Italy was hit very, very hard. And now, as we know, progressively reopening, I think the recovery of the Italian market, again, I believe will surprise us.
Phillips 66 – Earnings Call Transcript – 5/1
We’re seeing that 80%, 90% back up, so strong recovery in China.
Exxon Mobil Corp – Earnings Call Transcript – 5/1
We’ve adjusted our plans to a low price and margin environment through year-end. As a result, our price projections tend to be at the low end of third-party estimates. But, once again, I hope we’re surprised with a quick recovery, which we have not ruled out, particularly given our ongoing experience in China.
While it’s still early days, there are some reasons to be cautiously optimistic as signs of demand and economic activity are beginning to pick up in China, with April sales in 3 of our key businesses back in line with and slightly above the same period last year. But, of course, it’s too early to tell if this initial rebound will be sustained or if it reflects the broader economy, or if it is even relevant to other economies worldwide given the range of government responses and policies.
Estee Lauder – Earnings Call Transcript – 5/1
We are also focusing on the areas of most immediate opportunity in Asia/Pacific, with Mainland China as of March and Korea as of April moving from containment to recovery. We told you on our last earnings call that we stood ready to facilitate healing as soon as the market supported it, and we are doing just that.
In Mainland China, we successfully piloted an emerging business model for online and department stores to adapt to landscape changes. For La Mer, personalized service across channels with curated and targeted communication drove both online and department store sales significantly higher in March. The strength of the La Mer repeats business model has been a critical factor for its strong recovery and contributed to the brand’s outstanding prestige beauty share gains in Mainland China in the quarter.
As countries in Asia/Pacific move into recovery, we are mindful of the consumer in these markets who traditionally purchase our products in travel retail but cannot do so with air travel largely curtailed.
Abbvie Inc – Earnings Call Transcript – 5/1
However, after carefully analyzing the esthetics business performance during the 2008, 2009 recession, which experienced a rapid V-shape recovery, the recent trends we are observing in China, as clinics have reopened locally and procedures have started to ramp significantly and taking into account the household income and employment status of the esthetics patient base, we remain confident that the expected near-term impact, while likely substantial, will be transient with the esthetics business quickly ramping back to normalized trends following the relaxation of quarantine restrictions in the UU.S.and major European markets.
Honeywell – Earnings Call Transcript – 5/1
Question – Sheila Karin Kahyaoglu: And then I guess my second question, maybe can you talk about the recovery you’re starting to see in Asia and China by segment? How quickly are some of these businesses coming back?
Answer – Darius E. Adamczyk: Yes. I think it’s a bit of a mixed story, and maybe I’ll use China as an example. So as you can imagine, in China, January and February were extraordinarily slow, that the business was — there wasn’t much of anything happening. March was better. March, we saw a bounce back, which was encouraging. But April has been, no, not horrible, but soft. I mean, think about the harmful, single-digit kind of business. So I think the assumption that China is back to normal, at least based only on the April data point, may not be correct. Aviation is just starting to pick up in China.
Restaurant Brands International Inc – Earnings Call Transcript – 5/1
As we sit here today, more than 95% of our UU.S.restaurants are open. In Canada, around 85% of our Tim Hortons restaurants remain open, with most of the temporary closures in places like universities or malls that are currently closed. In APAC, more than 80% of our restaurants are open, reflecting a strong recovery in China after most of the restaurants were closed during the peak of the crisis there in February. And in EMEA and LAC, around 40% and 50% of our restaurants are open, respectively.
Fortive Corp – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/30
Answer – Andrew Alec Kaplowitz: That’s helpful. And then, Jim, I’m just trying to ask Steve’s question may be a different way. Some of your multi-industry peers have talked about a V-shaped recovery in China precisely and some strength, at least not weakness, in semiconductors and some types of electronics. But, on the other hand, you see more of a U in China. So maybe you can give us a little more color on that? And could you comment on your electronics-focused businesses?
Answer – James A. Lico: Yes. Sure. So I would say, I think it’s — we’ve got all these letters for recovery. This is not a snapback recovery in China. Looking at our four largest businesses there, Tektronix has an electronics focus. That’s been pretty slow. We have a little bit of Huawei impact in the first quarter, but that’s been relatively quiet, and we haven’t seen that come back much. Fluke has seen tremendous demand in things like imaging. So they’ve seen some strong demand there, but the remaining part of it remains slow. So I haven’t seen much recovery there. With Gilbarco, we’ve been waiting to put stuff in the ground, given there are still many restrictions. I mentioned that in North America, but we see that in other places worldwide. So that’s probably been slower than the other 2.
And of course, ASP, I mentioned elective surgeries at their peak were down 85% in China. So they’ve come back considerably but not come back to normal yet.
Apple – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/30
Answer – Timothy D. Cook: Yes. We saw what we saw in China for the entire quarter, and I’ll speak about Mainland China because I think that’s the source of your question; we saw strong results in iPad and Wearables and Services. And if you look up underneath the entire quarter, we saw a strong January and then a significantly reduced demand in February as the shelter-in-place orders and the lockdowns went into effect in China, and the stores closed. And then in March, as stores reopened, we — the recovery began, and then we’ve seen a further recovery in April. So where that goes, we will see, but that’s kind of what we’ve seen so far there.
Regarding store traffic, store traffic is up from where it was in February, but it is not back to where it was pre the lockdown. There has been, however, more move to online. And as I’d mentioned earlier in my remarks, it’s pretty phenomenal. Retail had a quarterly record for us during the quarter, and that’s despite stores being closed for the three weeks around the world ex-China, and then China was completed before that three weeks. And that’s partly because the online store had such a phenomenal quarter, which included in China, but it was also other regions. So there is a move. And whether that’s a permanent shift, I would hesitate to go that far as I think people like to be out and about. They just know that now is not the time to do that.
Stryker Corp – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/30
By geography, Japan, Canada, and smaller countries in Europe and emerging markets performed well, while China was the weakest.
In Q2, we expect a recovery in China, but most other geographies will worsen, given the virus’s spread. As a result, for April, our company sales will decline by 35% to 40% versus 2019. However, looking at the remainder of the quarter, we are encouraged by the planned gradual resumption of elective surgeries in the UU.S.and abroad.
McDonald’s – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/30
Question – Jeffrey Andrew Bernstein: But China seems like some good intelligence. I’m just trying to assess the pace of recovery through the crisis. You mentioned it was down more than 20% from a comp perspective in the January, February time frame. Wondering if maybe you can give some sort of a monthly trend as that market, I think you said, is now down mid-teens. So it seems like it’s a 5-point-plus improvement but over multiple months. So it looks like maybe it’s slower than some had hoped. I was just wondering maybe if you could list out the primary factors. It looks like you said the U.S.is much more quickly improving; I think you said it started April, down 25%. And just within the month, it’s now only down 15%. So anything you can compare and contrast between China and the UU.S.in terms of how we think about the recoveries around the world would be significant.
Answer – Christopher J. Kempczinski: Sure. So I think there’s — as you mentioned, there are several things that we’re learning from China. Much of it was around operational elements that I described earlier in the call. We’ve certainly also been watching and learning as China has been able to approach the digital side of the business. I think they are further ahead than most of our markets regarding how they use digital. So a lot of good — but as you mentioned, as we’ve referenced, the pace of recovery in China has been slow. We’re not seeing a V-shaped recovery in China. The business trends are improving, but they’re still running adverse to where we were a year ago.
DOW Inc – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/29
The progression of containment and recovery that we saw in China is now playing out in Europe, and we expect similar patterns to evolve in the UU.S.and other countries. So our corridor of potential outcomes assumes that the second quarter will show the most significant global economic and chemical industry impacts from COVID-19 and the collapse in energy prices.
Using China as a reference, our modeling guidance assumes recovery for Dow begins as economies reopen. Reports suggest that overall activity in China did improve quickly year-over-year from February to March, but improvements have been uneven across industries.
Facebook – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/29
I think probably the market that would be most destructive would be a market like China. But I think China is a bit different for us because we don’t have users in China. So the business there is China-based advertisers reaching people outside of China. So it’s hard to extrapolate too much from that. We did see a pullback of revenue in China earlier in the quarter. And we have seen a recovery there and a recovery — but one thing that’s hard to know is part of that is mixed up in the verticals as well. For us, China tends to index pretty highly with gaming and e-commerce. And those segments drove towards online outcomes where we’re seeing relative strength. So it’s hard to read too much into the experience.
Align Technology Inc – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/29
At the same time, while EMEA, North America, and other parts of APAC fell off in mid-March, we began to see improvements in China as the country started to open up again. While it’s still early in the recovery process and the situation is different in every city. For every practice, we’re working closely with our doctors to support their current needs and ensure they have a game plan to resume operations in a very different environment for the foreseeable future—more on that in a few minutes.
Qualcomm – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
In the June quarter, we estimate the overall handset market to be down approximately 30%, driven by the impact of shutdowns in the rest of the world while benefiting from the rebound we see in China. Total demand will depend on the speed of the economic recovery. However, we see no change in our 2020 5G smartphone forecast calendar year.
Given the continued uncertainty around the timing and the pace of the resolution of COVID-19, our third fiscal quarter forecast is based on a planning assumption of approximately a 30% reduction in handset shipments relative to our prior expectations. This planning assumption is based on two drivers: First, China sales for the quarter gradually improve from the exit rate of the March quarter; and second, other regions see a recovery starting in June, which is modeled based on the trends we see in China. As a result, our forecast for the first half of 2020 implies a reduction of approximately 10% to the calendar 2020 total device forecast. However, total devices in the second half of 2020 will depend on the speed of the economic recovery.
Answer – Akash Palkhiwala: Yes. Chris, it’s Akash. So the way we looked at the third fiscal quarter for us is we kind of focused on the — what we saw in the second fiscal quarter, which was we saw weakness in China earlier in the quarter, really starting from late January through February, but a strong recovery exiting the quarter. Outside China, we saw weakness leaving the quarter. And so, we use that as the starting point. And our framework for how to model the June quarter was to use the exit rates and apply the China recovery model to the rest of the world. So as you think about the June quarter, the 30% decline that we’re expecting in handsets, it’s a combination of China being not as weak given that they’ve already gone through a substantial recovery. But, unfortunately, the rest of the world is seeing more weakness.
Sherwin-Williams Co – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/29
Performance Coatings and was our strongest performer before the pandemic. We would expect that to be true going forward. We have started to see some recovery in China, but at a slower pace than anticipated.
Yum Brands – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/29
In the U.S., the stimulus impact on the consumers is helping our business and helping build momentum there as well. But I think you heard last night from Yum China that what they’ve learned as they’ve gone through the recovery is that it’s been a little bit uneven, makes it very difficult to forecast where bottoms are and exact trends, but I certainly look forward to sharing more details on sales when we get to the Q2 results.
3M – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/29
In China, there are more and more signs for recovery because the chances are good that in early, some of the automotive markets could reach the previous year’s level every month. All the 2,000 dealerships of the Volkswagen brand have reopened. Audi and Skoda have opened more than 95% of the dealerships, and the number of customers coming to the dealerships in the last weekend of March has reached a level comparable to the previous year. Thirty-two of 33 car and component factories have restarted production activities.
Again, this recovery, of course, e following conditions: Coronavirus in China must not resurge, and the global economy must not slow down the recovery of the Chinese business world.
Airbus – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
We are looking into our commercial aircraft environment in more detail. We start to see some signs of recovery in China, albeit at a languid pace. Passenger capacity declined by minus 85% at the peak of the crisis in China in mid-February compared to the pre-COVID-19 situation and recovered to a minus 60% in April. That’s the latest data available I have.
Starbucks – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
Today, continued recovery in China strengthens our belief that these impacts are temporary. We will emerge from this global pandemic with new insights and capabilities to make our business even stronger and more relevant.
For April, comparable store sales in China were down approximately 35%, marking a strong improvement from a weekly low of minus 90% in mid-February. Importantly, even though new store development activities were suspended for most of the quarter, we opened 59 recent net locations in China during Q2. Another seven sites added thus far in April. We expect to open at least 500 net new stores in fiscal 2020, with as many as 100 new stores initially planned for this year deferred to fiscal 2021. This represents a rapid reacceleration of our new store development and speaks to our team’s fantastic spirit and enormous capability in China. Given this progress, we believe our recovery plan is working. We remain optimistic about our ability to capitalize on the long-term growth potential of the premium coffee market in China.
We believe, barring any new disruptions, that our business in China is on a path to substantial recovery by the end of this fiscal year.
Unsurprisingly, business disruption attributable to the COVID-19 pandemic has materially impacted our financial results. However, we believe that these impacts are temporary as evidenced by our continued recovery in China, as Kevin outlined, so I will highlight the financial consequences to provide investors with perspective on our normalized performance for the second quarter as well as insight into how future quarters’ results may be affected by these conditions.
Costar Group – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
The entire industry is watching the recovery in China to hopefully shed light on what recovery in their part of the world will look like. We have been reporting on China weekly and have added a video series focused on China’s recovery that we’re producing both in English and Chinese. As of last week, 90% of the hotels in China are open, and we have a couple of markets that are inching towards 50% occupancy. Overall, though, occupancy in China is at 35%, and that’s certainly nowhere near the normal 70% to 75% of the occupancy we expect, but it was well up from the low of 10% occupancy a few months ago. Slow but measured recovery in a matter of months.
United Parcel Service – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
One of the bright spots in the quarter occurred in mid-March, as China began its recovery. As a result, March’s export volume from Asia was up around 15% on a local day basis. In addition, we quickly added capacity to support pent-up demand from Asia from various sectors, including healthcare, high-tech, and e-commerce. As a result, international generated $558 million in operating profit.
International air freight tonnage rebounded in March and was up more than 15%, primarily on Asia outbound lanes as the China recovery took hold.
Transunion – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
Christopher A. Cartwright: Just two quick comments. I mean, in summary, the difference in the product mix that we have or the weighting of the product mix in Hong Kong lends itself to stability. And that business has held up pretty well over the past year or 18 months. I mean, initially, we had the protests and political instability, which caused some curtailment; and then we had the unfortunate fraud situation in our direct-to-consumer business, which took that off-line; and now, of course, the pandemic.
All that said, though, it’s still a strong business. And it’s also just given us insight into how this pandemic and the recovery may also develop. So our employees have been going back to the office in Hong Kong but in a measured and limited way.
3M – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
Andrew Alec Kaplowitz: I wanted to follow up on the comments on electronics. I mean, you mentioned the recovery in China. It’s more of a China-based business for you guys, but is that business a little more resilient this cycle than expected? Can you give us some more color on what you’re — to the extent you can, expectations moving forward between SEMICON? You’ve got mobile devices in there. What do you see in that business?
Answer – Michael F. Roman: Yes. And Andy, even as we came into the year, we were starting to feel better about electronics, and it was semiconductor manufacturing demand increasing. And that has held up. So we see that that’s part of that broader growth and return to growth in China.
PPG Industries – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
Since early March in China, we have seen a measured recovery in demand patterns. As a result, our factories in China have been running at 70% to 80% of capacity utilization for several weeks, moving closer to our 2019 levels and mirroring the needs of our customers’ demand. We’ve also learned a lot from the restart in China, which we will be able to leverage and optimize as other countries are beginning to restart their economies over the coming weeks.
In addition, we have included some details of what we are currently experiencing during the early stages of the China pandemic recovery in our presentation materials. Regionally, demand continues to improve in China and is expected to return to growth in the second half of 2020. Consistent with the timing of the Great Recession, year-over-year auto builds in China are expected to be comparable in the second quarter. And retail auto sales have been increasing on a sequential basis for several weeks and approaching levels close to 2019. Other end-use markets in China are in different stages of recovery, but all are directionally improving. Also, data shows that traffic congestion in China is nearing 2019 levels, which should aid demand for auto refinish.
Waters Corporation – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
Looking at the various geographies, we believe that the U.S., India, Japan, and parts of Europe are currently in the containment phase. We expect these geographies to move into recovery in the second half of the year. Likewise, we believe that China, many parts of Asia, and some parts of Europe are currently in the recovery phase. And while there is a possibility for a second wave of the virus, we see them on an improving trajectory.
Derik De Bruin: So, can you talk more about some of the recoveries in your emerging markets? Just basically just questioning — you mentioned you saw some pickup in China and some in some of the European geographies. Can you talk more about that and precisely what you’re seeing?
Answer – Christopher James O’Connell: Sure. Yes. Thanks, Derik, and I hope you’re well. We have established a robust framework for how to think about recovery. And as you might imagine, it’s not a one-size-fits-all approach. Every geography is undergoing a different dynamic related to 2 primary dimensions of healing. One is the overall spread of the virus and what the local public health response is. And the other dimension is the knock-on effects of that approach on the local economic conditions.
And there’s a wide range of programs around the world. China, which went through this first, I would characterize as seeing a steady recovery that continues to gain traction.
HSBC Holdings – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/28
We’re already seeing the start of a decent recovery, particularly in Mainland China, and to a lesser extent, Hong Kong. But, on the other hand, the second quarter to be tough in Western Europe, UU.K. UU.S.and other places, and therefore, understanding the path of that recovery into the second half of this year, I think. So consequently, when we stand up at Q2 results, I think we’ll know a lot more. We’ll be able to provide you with a lot more color based on what we’re seeing.
Adidas – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/27
We had the following priorities: more aggressively push e-com and reallocate resources to e-com; secondly, doubling down on recovery in China and Korea and where opportunities come; and number three, of course, intensify collections wherever possible…
Greater China was down 58%, particularly around the Chinese New Year and into February, where we were heavily impacted. However, we’re seeing a recovery starting to materialize in March, which we’ll discuss later in this presentation…
…When we look upon China and try to take the first learnings out of China and understand how can we apply these learnings to the road to the recovery for other markets, we’re looking upon and saying — seeing the retail business are recovering since stores are opening at the beginning of March. But traffic and conversion trends are normalizing over time, but they are below average rates. So even when traffic goes up, conversion remains lower.
… However, there are still many uncertainties as we manage through 2020: the speed of recovery in China plus the risk of setbacks; the duration of store closures and openings in the rest of the world; the economy and consumer sentiment and excess inventories across all markets. In this context, we do not believe it’s possible to provide the outlook for 2020 that includes the impact of the Coronavirus, but we’ll give you a quarterly perspective as we speak.
Domino’s Pizza Inc – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/23
We’ve seen a substantial recovery and steady gains in same-store sales over the recent weeks in other markets. China was our first market to be significantly impacted by COVID-19, and we are pleased to see our sales there recover and accelerate in the last few weeks of the first quarter and remain strong early in Q2.
Unilever – Sales Revenue Transcript – 4/23
On the other hand, all signs are green regarding competitiveness and growth versus the market. So, for example, our brand penetration market shares improved through February, a 3-year record high. And in China, where we’re starting to see a significant recovery, there’s pretty strong data that shows we are weathering. So we’ve come out of the situation in China competitively advantaged.
Kering – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/21
In Mainland China, we observed a gradual and steady recovery since late February, early March, as the decline rates narrowed week after week. Some of our brands have gotten back to growth in the past few days, and others are nearly there. E-commerce was a bright spot for most of the quarter, but that stopped with the closure of most of our European logistics operations in late March. As a result, Gucci is ideally positioned to take advantage of the recovery of the Chinese market and actively foster sales wherever its stores are reopened, reallocating inventory across regions.
Emerson Electric Co – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/21
Let me turn to Asia. The good news is China’s recovery is better than expected. We will beat order — the orders plan in April, significantly driven by semiconductor and medical. The near-term demand in China is relatively strong as the economic stimulation takes hold. And I’ll show you the specific details every month in China.
Coca Cola – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/21
We’re seeing encouraging signs of increased consumption as outlets reopen, resulting in sequential improvement in China. However, the consumption is still lower than the prior year, and we expect the recovery to take time as there are still limits on crowd sizes.
As we anticipate a recovery in China, we’re planning key actions with bottlers to regain momentum, including our pre-summer sales promotion and increased placement. We will follow the strategy that has proved successful before the pandemic, adjusted with a greater focus on channels and packages that will have traction as the new normal unfolds.
L’Oreal – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/16
There were progressive signs of recovery in March in Mainland China, where L’Oréal achieved growth in March and the first quarter…
…we have seen, obviously, a weakness in makeup. And after confinement, we see that all categories are gaining traction. And consumption, as I said, is bouncing back to be positive with still progressive recovery for makeup, obviously, in China, where everyone is wearing masks. So it is not, of course, a great incentive to wear lipstick or makeup in general.
Intuitive Surgical Inc – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/16
And so my first question is really on the chart on China. We’re showing a pretty lovely recovery from trough to where you are right now. I wondered if you could walk through your views on how good a proxy China might be for a U.S. recovery. Like, why or why not? How could that be different? Just your general thoughts on that would be great.
Answer – Gary S. Guthart: Thanks, Bob. Yes, you see in that chart China. You see other countries as well, Japan and so on. And what you can see is that country policy changes the shape. I think we’re encouraged by a couple of things. One is people’s interest — our customers’ interest in using da Vinci is durable. That’s been great.
You had asked a specific question of how predictive China is. And I think the answer there is too soon to tell for the rest of the regions. But I’m encouraged by it. I think it indicates the durability of demand. I believe policy matters, and I think how people allocate their health care resources will change, too.
LVMH – Conference Call Transcript – 4/16
Louis Vuitton and Christian Dior couture continued their creative momentum despite stores being closed in Europe and the UU.S.beginning in March and limited international travel.
There was an acceleration in online sales during the period. We are starting to see early signs of recovery in Mainland China, Taiwan, and Korea after the closures early in the year earlier in the quarter, sorry.
Abbott Laboratories – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/16
And as we shared, we’re starting to see an improving trend here in China. It’s not to the level that we saw in our normal levels, pre-COVID, say, December, January kind of rates. But they’re not as low as where they were in February. And we’re starting to see them every week, get better and better, and get closer to those levels that we saw pre-COVID.
We’ve seen other markets worldwide, whether that’s Asia or some of the other smaller European markets there. We’ve seen the beginning of the same kind of recovery trend in China—so starting to see some of the birth of that recovery. And then in other markets, we’re seeing kind of just this flattening and stabilization that the speed of the virus is a little bit more controlled.
Daimler AG – Conference Transcript – 4/8
We see early signs of a recovery in China. Group sales in March returned close to 60,000 units, almost on the same level as last year’s sales. All of the dealers are in operation in China, and we are recognizing growing customer traffic.
As of the end of March, our operations in China are already fully normalized, including the complete supply chain.
Deutsche Post AG – Earnings Call Transcript – 4/8
So you had heard from us that we were in good shape or better shape than ever before than we started the year and entered the crisis. But, of course, that’s still the case that we are in good condition. That’s the reason why we have clear priorities. We want to protect our people in the best way. We want to keep our customer service up and running. And of course, we are focusing very much on liquidity and the balance sheet strength.
We have, unfortunately, as Melanie said, a little bit limited visibility on what might happen in the following weeks even if I’m personally optimistic that the first signs of recovery, at least on the infection rate, is happening in some markets, and that should then lead like we have seen in other markets, in particular in China, to a recovery of the economy. But it’s too early to say that, and it’s too early to judge how long governments keep the lockdown in place.
Smiths Group – Interim Report – 4/6
By the end of March, Group trading was affected by early COVID-19 disruption, which is now accelerating. In HY2020, the Chinese operations of John Crane and Interconnect were disrupted. All our sites in China have now reopened and are operating at close to normal levels.
H&M – Earnings Call – 4/3
Answer – Rosie Shepard: You said that online sales in China didn’t change as much as in other markets, but there — and so China’s recovery could indicate the same recovery pattern as the other countries. Do you predict a change in online versus in-store and where the demand will be for different markets?
Answer – Adam Karlsson: I think what we tried to say is that the recovery shape is different in the online channel than the store channel in China. We don’t see the same pattern here. So it’s been a consistent pattern in the online channel than the in-store channel. So that was the intended answer.
Answer – Rosie Shepard: In other markets predicting the recovery, do you see any change in demand online versus in stores?
Answer – Adam Karlsson: In some markets, we’ve had a transfer of customers that’s previously been store customers that are now also starting to buy through the online channel. So we don’t have a good proxy for how this will evolve, but we see a flow of customers that used to be store only now into becoming omni, so to say, multichannel customers.
PVH Corp – Earnings Call – 4/2
At the front end of February, the business opened. And for March, overall, our company in China is back to about 65%. In the last week, it’s probably close to being back to 70% of the business. Digital continues to be very strong. We’re seeing in the major cities like Beijing and Hong Kong — Beijing and Shanghai, we’re seeing in those cities that are driven by, in some respect, international tourism. And we have the controls and store hours where the rules are tighter on movement and where tourism has significantly impacted that business in those key cities. There is no tourism going on. Those two cities are feeling it much more than the rest of China. So it just gives you a sense of where we are.
As we get into April, we’re expecting that minus 30% will move to minus 20%. And then we get into May, minus 20% will progress to minus 15% or 10%. And we are assuming when we get into the second half of the year; we will start to — assuming that the pandemic goes the way we hope it does, that business will begin to get back to a more normal level as we get into the second half of the year. So that’s how we’re planning it.
I think that’s a prudent way for us to plan how North America will come back as well. When stores open, I don’t believe that the first thing consumers will do is run out to buy apparel and accessories and get online and go into stores immediately. I think it will be a ramp-up as that happens as people get more and more comfortable with the situation. And I think that’s how we’re planning it. So I hope that was helping.
HELLA GmbH & Co KgaA Earnings Call – 4/2
Answer – Gabriel M. Adler: It’s Gabriel from Citigroup. I wanted to touch quickly on your suppliers and what risks you currently see from cash pressures and potential bankruptcies at Tier 2 and 3 suppliers? Any color there would be very useful.
And then my second question would be on China when you said that you see green shoots in recovery and demand is starting to come back. It’d be great to have some more examples here because, clearly, plants are reopening, but wholesale demand in China is still down, around 50% last time I checked. So it’d be interesting to hear your views on whether you think the recovery in consumer demand in China could start come through this month; that would be very helpful.
Answer – Rolf Breidenbach: Yes. Concerning our suppliers, of course, we are in close contact with many of them because the financial situation on — of our partners here and there is difficult. And therefore, we also have started a program to allow them to get cash in the necessary amount. But, of course, we can only help where it’s required, but we focus on that. Overall, of course, we also try to use our contacts to the politicians in Germany, and to the industry, of course, also in Germany and Europe to make sure — to, again and again, point out that the programs which are — have currently launched have to be accelerated and have to create bottom-line impact as soon as possible. For the smaller companies, this is quite well installed in Germany, in the other countries, here and there also. But for example, when I look at Germany, for the midsized companies, we have to accelerate because we need — HELLA cannot help everywhere. We only can do this in a very particular way. We need these stabilization programs in the supply chain because the midsized suppliers are currently suffering a lot. We have to be very careful not to destabilize the supply chain more.
As I said, our operations are — our plants are currently running at around 60% in China. We see that the plants of our customers are more and more opening. They — the whole attitude in China is very positive. It looks as if the Chinese government and the entire Chinese nation now have a target to recover. And therefore, we see, in general, especially by the huge, let’s say, joint ventures between global OEMs and Chinese state-owned companies, a clear tendency to go beyond the current level of 50%, 60%. And we are very optimistic that this also will be the case. The situation at the local Chinese customer is a little bit different. Some have already started their production; others are a little bit behind. But this depends on the market success of their products.
But the good news, in general, is that the demand for cars, for pass cars in China, is step-by-step improving, which, of course, is the most important prerequisites that the industry will recover and continue the development to — step-by-step, come to a, I don’t know, 80%, 90% utilization.
Lamb Weston Holdings – Earnings Call- 4/1
Question – Rebecca Scheuneman: So it can be challenging to get a read for precisely what is happening in China, but there have been some reports — that new cases of the COVID-19 virus are spiking up again as people are getting back to work and back out in the general population. Are you seeing anything in your demand data to indicate that?
Answer – Thomas P. Werner: This is Tom. I know that the news that’s coming out is mixed. That’s what I know. Factually, what I know about our business in China is what I stated earlier. When all this happened in January, February, the last 2, 3 weeks, our company fell off about 50%. The team worked through it. They did a terrific job, the China team continuing to operate, provide food for people. And now we’re seeing traffic patterns for our business about 70% of normalized levels.
And with the recent news that you alluded to, it’s new news to all of us. So I can’t speculate on what our business is going to do. But as I stated earlier, this is a — we’re managing this every day. So we’re looking at the data. It’s very fluid. We haven’t seen any indications based on what you alluded to, the new news and new cases. And so it’s an everyday thing that we’re going to continue to monitor. But right now, we haven’t seen any change based on the last 24 hours. And so that’s — but again, we’re watching this every day based on what we know.
China Southern Airlines – 6k – 4/1
China is in the crucial period of transforming development mode, optimizing the economic structure, and changing growth momentum. Structural, institutional and periodic issues are intertwined. The “three-period superimposed” effect continues to deepen, and downward pressure on the economy increases. At the same time, the COVID-19 epidemic has also impacted China’s economy. China’s prevention and control measures have achieved positive results, and the most arduous and challenging stage has passed. The resumption of work and production of enterprises has been advanced in an orderly manner, and the economy returned to regular faster. The impact of the epidemic is short-term and generally controllable. The primary trend for China’s economy to seek progress while maintaining stability with good long-term prospects has not changed.
Xiaomi – Earnings Call – 3/31
Answer – Xiang Wang: Yes. Maybe I’ll answer the question, and then Shou and Richmond can add. So the first question is related to the impact, right, the COVID-19 impact on our business in India and Europe. So right now in India, I think the Indian government takes a huge step to prevent the whole country from trying to help the people avoid more infection. So I think it’s the right decision. So the entire government right now is shutting down. So we see it will impact our business.
But based on the — but still, although everything is shutting down, we see many of our customers or fans buying our smartphones from different channels. That’s a good indication that consumers need smartphones even in a challenging situation. So based on our experience in China, we see a strong bounce-back of the market. We believe after — we recover from the virus. We will see a strong recovery.
So in China, China’s experience told us that right now, in March, the run rate of smartphone sales is about 90% of the January consumption. And so, an excellent signal. And it tells us that smartphone demand is a resilient demand.
In Europe, the same thing. Many countries, including Spain, Italy, and France, they — their focus is fighting against the virus, right? So we see a demand drop, but gradually — after a week, gradually stabilize. So maybe later, I would like Shou to give you a detail.
Answer – Shou Zi Chew: Yes. Sure. Okay. I’ll go. So this is Shou here. I would reiterate a few things that Xiang Wang mentioned just now. Based on our experience in China, the first is that the smartphone demand rebounds quickly. And our assessment of this based on going through a complete cycle here in China is that smartphones are on the — closer to the spectrum of essentials than on the spectrum of sort of luxuries in this time. So the good thing about our Chinese demand was that there was deferred consumption in February, particularly when many cities were shut. Of course, e-commerce did a little bit to mitigate this. And as all of you know, our e-commerce presence in China is significant compared to many of our peers. So this is the experience we had in China.
Now the situation outside of China is very dynamic. As of — we are operational in 90 countries. And as of now, almost every government has imposed some sort of restrictions within their countries internally. Currently, only a handful has set the highest form of rules, which is that even the logistics and fulfillment don’t work. Only a handful of countries are in this category. The large majority of countries are in the category of a social distancing policy. Some off-line retail shops are shut. But in general, the government is not at a complete standstill.
So what we are seeing based on our numbers, the — first of all, we understand the gravity of the situation. We see a fall, but we see it sort of stabilizing. In particular, in some countries, we see a slight recovery. It’s across 90 countries around the world. So different countries are in various stages of this.
The second is, what we have seen is that in China, the consumption gets deferred. So at least in China — in the second half of March, what we are seeing is a relatively robust recovery. So this is something that we take to heart.
WPP – 6K – 3/31
For the first two months of 2020, excluding Greater China, Group LFL revenue less pass-through costs were up 0.4%. In Greater China (approximately 7% of WPP by income less pass-through costs), the impact from COVID-19 led to a 16.1%1 fall in LFL revenue less pass-through costs over the two months. For WPP, LFL revenue less pass-through costs were down 0.6%, in line with our expectations and the guidance set in our preliminary results announcement on February 27, 2020. In the USA, we saw an improvement in the rate of decline from 2019, with revenue less pass-through costs down 0.9% in the first two months, compared to a reduction in the second half of 2019 of 4.4%. Our overall new business performance was solid, with several critical wins including Intel, Hasbro, Discover, and retentions including BBVA.
In China, despite the significant slowdown in economic activity and the closure of our offices, our people have responded extraordinarily well to the unprecedented challenges, and we have successfully continued to work on client projects. For example, at the peak of the crisis in China, almost all of our colleagues were working remotely, but as health restrictions are now being lifted, 55% of our local workforce are back in our offices.
In March, we began to see a range of different responses from clients globally, depending on the client sector, country, and agency services. In the short term, media spend largely remained committed or diverted to alternative channels, although we have seen an increasing volume of cancellations. Project and retained work have continued in most sectors, but activity has declined. New business pitches continue where the process was already underway, albeit we have less certainty over our future pipeline. We are seeing additional demand in our PP.R.and specialist communications businesses in some markets.
As a result, we expect our performance in March in markets experiencing significant COVID-19 outbreaks to be weaker than in January and February, impacted by government restrictions on movement and the consequent reduction in economic activity.
As we enter the second quarter, it is clear that the impact of COVID-19 on the business will increase, but it is not possible to quantify the depth or duration of the effect. As a result, we have decided to withdraw our guidance for the 2020 financial year. We will provide an update when appropriate.
Credit Suisse AG – Annual Report – 3/31
The rapid spread of COVID-19 inside China in February 2020 and across the world in March 2020 led to the introduction of tight government controls and travel bans and the implementation of other measures that quickly closed down activity and increased economic disruption globally. Markets globally were negatively impacted, with the energy, travel and tourism, transportation sectors, and companies with close links to China’s economy being the worst affected so far. COVID-19 is expected to significantly impact the global economy, at least in the First half of 2020. It is likely to affect the Group’s financial performance, including credit loss estimates, trading revenues, net interest income, and potential goodwill assessments. We are closely monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and the possible effects on our operations and business.
McCormick & Co – Earnings Call – 3/31
The disruption in China resulted in a 3% reduction in total company first-quarter sales and reduced our total consumer and flavor solutions segment sales by 5% and 1%, respectively. As a reminder, our consumer segment includes the branded foodservice component in China because those foodservice products use the same packaging format and share a common distribution channel, particularly in traditional trade and in the smaller markets, like other consumer products in China. The lower operating income from China impacted the entire company’s growth in adjusted operating income and adjusted earnings per share by 10%.
Currently, during the early stages of recovery in China, we are seeing increased cooking at home, a surge in consumer retail demand, both in stores and through e-commerce, and the start of a recovery in foodservice as most restaurants and caterers reopen, and consumer confidence gradually builds. We expect China’s results to be significantly impacted in the second quarter as the market begins to recover slowly. In addition, the lockdown in Hubei continued through March, and as recently announced, is expected to be lifted in April. For the year, we expect lower China sales from the COVID-19 impact will reduce our total net sales growth by 1% to 2%. And as I already mentioned, we currently believe the COVID-19 result in China cannot be extrapolated to the overall COVID-19 impact for the rest of the company.
Turning to the current status of our major markets outside of China, our presence in China afforded us the insight of seeing how COVID-19 scenarios can unfold and take early action. Our supply chain business continuity plans have been in effect since January. We have assessed and implemented continuity plans to provide customers with continued supply. There has been no material impact on supply for most of our sourced materials, and continuity plans have been activated for those impacted. In addition, we partner with our customers to monitor and respond to changes in consumer demand. We’re seeing increased consumer consumption, both through our scanner data and e-commerce and through customer orders, including those from packaged food companies in our flavor solutions segment.
Wynn Macau – Annual Report – 3/31
Visitation to Macau has fallen precipitously since the Outbreak of COVID-19, driven by the Outbreak’s strong deterrent effect on travel and social activities, the Chinese government’s suspension of its visa and group tour schemes that allow mainland Chinese residents to travel to Macau, quarantine measures, travel and entry restrictions and conditions in Macau, Hong Kong and certain cities and regions in mainland China, the suspension of ferry services and other modes of transportation within Macau and regionally, and, most recently, the ban on entry or enhanced quarantine requirements, depending on the person’s residency and their recent travel history, for any Macau residents, PRC citizens, Hong Kong residents and Taiwan residents attempting to enter Macau. In addition, persons who are not residents of Greater China are barred from entry to Macau.
The COVID-19 Outbreak has had and will harm our results of operations. However, given the uncertainty around the extent and timing of the potential future spread or mitigation of the COVID-19 and the imposition or relaxation of protective measures, we cannot reasonably estimate the impact on our future results of operations, cash flows, or financial condition.
Agricultural Bank of China – Annual Report – 3/31
In 2020, though the COVID-19 impacted China’s economy, such results are mainly expected to be short-term. China’s fundamentals of high-quality economic development with favorable long-term prospects will remain unchanged. Investments in traditional and new infrastructures will play an essential role in the stabilization and growth, with significantly accelerated construction of the 5G network, data center, and other new infrastructures. While consumption will remain overall stable, online consumption will develop faster. The decrease in global demands will affect China’s export, and trade barriers resulting from the COVID-19 Outbreak are also likely to affect our industrial chain. With the continuous economic structure optimization, internal demand will continue to drive economic growth further. New retail, online education, online office, and other forms of the digital economy will have new development opportunities. Comprehensively considering the impacts of COVID-19 and pork price, the consumer price index (CPI) is expected to be relatively high at the beginning and decrease as the year progresses.
Link Real Estate Investment Trust – Investor Briefing – 3/30
Thank you, George, and all of you for dialing in. Our Hong Kong retail portfolio has shown resilience, and occupancy was high at 97.2% in December 2019. In addition, we maintained the nondiscretionary nature with 63% of the portfolio in food-related trades—slide 8. Link’s overall average tenant sales growth has slowed in light of softening markets and was flat at 0.4%, still outperforming the general Hong Kong market in the first three quarters.
While F&B tenants recorded a gentle growth of 1.4%, supermarket and foodstuff have done exceptionally well with a 5% growth. On the other hand, we saw a bigger hit on our general retail tenants; the sales shrank by 2.8%, which was relatively milder than the Hong Kong market. As a result, the Rent-to-sales ratio of the overall portfolio was steady at 14.5% as of December 2019. However, the figures here have not yet reflected the impact of COVID-19, which started in late January. In the last two months, the virus has severely impacted our tenants, especially Chinese restaurants and education centers.
We have been working with our tenants to ride out this challenging period—occupancy at The Quayside through our proposed schemes. Our joint venture development in Kowloon East is gradually ramping up. This 20-story office building has almost 14 out of 17 floors filled. 2 new additions, including Manulife and an FMCG tenant, have committed to take up two office floors in recent weeks, pushing occupancy to over 80% as of March 2020. Around 70% of the 3-story retail podium is filled and provides a variety of amenities, especially F&B, to satisfy nearby demand. We hope to create a lively community for office tenants and their staff, offering a suitable work-life balance.
We were moving to Page 10. In Mainland China, the overall occupancy of our retail portfolio stood at 98.6% as of December 2019. They performed well up until Chinese New Year, then the Outbreak of COVID-19 impacted shopping centers’ businesses at the end of January onwards.
Footfall dropped significantly in February, it is now showing early signs of returning, and more than 80% of our tenants have resumed operations. However, most entertainment tenants are still closed, such as cinemas and gyms.
On our Mainland China office, Link Square. Link Square, our office in Shanghai, delivered stable returns with occupancy at 95.8%. Office tenants have resumed normal operations after over a month’s suspension due to the virus.
Domino’s Pizza Inc – 8K – 3/30
Across our international business, the unique circumstances in several markets have necessitated the temporary closing of stores. We continue to contact the master franchise companies operating these affected stores and look forward to them reopening as soon as possible. China was our first market to be significantly impacted by COVID-19, and we were pleased to see our sales there recover and accelerate in the last few weeks of the first quarter.
Cosco Shipping Holdings Co Inc – Annual Report – 3/30
Looking forward to 2020, overall, the sluggish global economic growth is accompanied by increasing uncertainties, the long-term stability of the Chinese economy and the short-term superimposed pressures coexist, and the relief of the shipping capacity growth pressure and the increased risk go hand in hand.
On the one hand, it is expected by many authorities that the global economic growth in 2020 will be at a low level since the financial crisis, and international geopolitics, and local social turmoil could bring uncertainties to the global economy. The sudden Outbreak of COVID-19 will have a material impact on China’s economy in the short term and may threaten global economic and trade growth if it spreads globally. However, on the other hand, some positive factors should be noted. First, China and the United States have reached the first phase of the economic and trade agreement, proving that cooperation is still the current mainstream of global economic development. The Chinese government has quickly and efficiently promoted epidemic prevention and control. It has increased counter-cyclical policy adjustments against the impact of the epidemic, which will effectively alleviate downward pressure on the global economy. Coupled with China’s continuous economic transformation, expansion and upgrading of the domestic market demand, continuous improvement of the business environment, and apparent advantages in the industrial chain, China’s economy will continue to maintain stable growth in the medium and long term and will continue to be an essential stabilizer for the global economic growth, thereby supporting the development of international shipping industry.
Enn Energy Holdings – Annual Report – 3/30
The National Development and Reform Commission has also brought forward low-season non-residential city gate prices to relieve the mounting pressure from C/I users. As a result, the Group believes that the epidemic’s impact on China’s economy is temporary. After the epidemic, it is expected that local governments will also introduce policies to stimulate consumption and support enterprises so that the overall domestic economic growth will gradually return to normal levels.
Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited – Annual Report – 3/30
Since the Outbreak of Coronavirus in China in January 2020, the prevention and control of the epidemic has continued throughout the country. The epidemic has thus far impacted certain provinces, cities, and industries, especially companies operating in the Hubei Province. This epidemic has also affected the overall economic environment of China, which in turn impacted the operations of the Group in certain parts of China. The degree and extent of such impact will depend on the duration of the epidemic and prevention and control activities taken by the government.
Our manufacturing sites in China have thus far demonstrated strong resilience, with no material impact on manufacturing output and capacity witnessed since early 2020. On the other hand, sales and distribution activities in China experienced a slow down due to the extended Lunar New Year Holiday and delay in operation resumptions in hospitals across multiple regions. However, since the gradual resumption of normal business operations across various provinces in China from March 2020, our sales and distribution activities are gradually reverting to normal levels in line with the business operations of our customers.
EVERGRANDE HEALTH INDUSTRY GROUP LIMITED – Annual Report – 3/30
Looking ahead in 2020, the COVID-19 Outbreak, which began around the Lunar New Year, will create a short-term impact on the Chinese economy. With the effective management and monitoring of the Chinese government, preliminary control of the pandemic has been achieved. The healthcare industry has been a strategic focus under the critical development of China, also being an industry closely connected to the COVID-19 Outbreak. The government is expected to introduce more flexible industry policies with the market demand for this industry growing significantly. As such, the Group will take a more proactive attitude to provide and improve its healthcare products and services and leverage on the crisis of the COVID-19 Outbreak as a growth opportunity for the Group and to safeguard the healthy living of the mass public.
Abb Ltd – 6k – 3/30
Guidance issued on February 5, 2020, did not include impacts due to the Coronavirus, whose effects were mainly limited to China at that time. However, we have subsequently experienced a decline in trading conditions due to the Outbreak, further impacted by a weakening oil price.
The situation in China has stabilized following extensive government-led efforts in February, and operations at ABB’s three main production hubs of Shanghai, Beijing, and Xiamen have essentially returned to normal. While weakened customer demand in China, our second-largest market, will also impact the first-quarter results, our China business has been improving recently. At the same time, COVID-19 has spread rapidly to the western hemisphere in March, resulting in governments and customers adopting containment measures that have material economic consequences across the globe.
Geely Automobile Holdings – Annual Report – 3/30
The prevailing political and economic uncertainties should continue to affect the passenger vehicle demand in China. The recent Outbreak of novel Coronavirus had caused severe disruption to our supply chain and thus our production levels, meaning additional pressure on our business volume and profitability in 2020. The current headwind is expected to persist shortly, making 2020 probably the most challenging year in the Group’s history. Despite this, the fierce market competition in China has shown no sign of subsiding and should continue to put pressure on the sales performance and profitability of Chinese vehicle manufacturers in 2020
China Construction Bank Corporation – Annual Report – 3/29
In 2020, impacted by geopolitics, economic and trade frictions, and the global spread of COVID-19, the world economy will face tremendous downward pressure. The Outbreak of COVID–19 will affect China’s economy to some extent, but the duration and scale of COVID-19 remain to be seen. China’s economic fundamentals remain favorable for the long term, and China is still in a critical period with strategic opportunities.
Huazhu Group Ltd – Earnings Call 3/27
Question – Hay Ling Ng: I have two questions. Regarding your current occupancy rate of 62%, which is very encouraging. I just wonder. Can you break down the demand of that 62%? How much is related to quarantine demand? How much is business? And how much is — if there is still any leisure left, can you give us some color on that number? And then I have another question.
Answer – Yu Ida: (foreign language)
Answer – Qi Ji: (foreign language)
Answer – Xinxin Liu: (foreign language)
Answer – Yu Ida: [Interpreted] So, just like Jin Hui mentioned, cumulative, the government has taken over 500 hotels for quarantine purposes.
Answer – Xinxin Liu: (foreign language)
Answer – Yu Ida: [Interpreted] So we find that so-called safety or quarantine rooms take [up around] 80% of the enclosures sold.
Answer – Xinxin Liu: (foreign language)
Answer – Yu Ida: [Interpreted] And 50% of the demand is from the local market, local business, like the people returning to work.
Answer – Xinxin Liu: (foreign language)
Answer – Yu Ida: [Interpreted] So most business is actually for the returning worker for the corporate needs and the quarantine room for the customers.
Answer – Xinxin Liu: (foreign language)
Answer – Yu Ida: [Interpreted] And in the mid of March, we started to find the demand from the real business travelers start to pick.
Question – Hay Ling Ng: Okay. And can I follow up on that? Do you see the leisure travel picking up during the May 1 Golden Week?
Answer – Yu Ida: May 1. Oh, you’re talking about May 1 Golden Week, okay.
Question – Hay Ling Ng: Yes. Will you — okay.
Answer – Yu Ida: (foreign language)
Answer – Xinxin Liu: (foreign language)
Answer – Yu Ida: Okay.
[Interpreted] So we expect the demand from leisure will come up in the second half of April, and we’re preparing different sales packages for that wave of demand.
Bank of China Ltd – Annual Report – 3/27
In 2020, the banking industry will face a complicated operating environment. The worldwide spread of COVID-19 has hit the global economy and financial markets. From an international perspective, the global economy continues to undergo profound adjustment following the financial crisis and will face more substantial downward pressure under the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, risks to the financial system will increase, and the pace of adjustment will be uneven within the international economic landscape, which will bring more significant uncertainties and risks. From a domestic perspective, China’s economy is in a critical period of tackling pressing challenges about transforming its development mode, improving its economic structure, and shifting the growth drivers. Although COVID-19 will have a temporary economic impact, the outlook towards change for the Chinese economy will remain unchanged. As a result, the banking industry will face a more severe and complicated environment, with challenges and opportunities coexisting.
Goldman Sachs – Investor Transcript – 3/26
On Slide 5, you can see our first-quarter expectations. And we expect a strong performance, especially in light of the environment, nicely over expectations from The Street, and the top line, down about 5% organically. And that’s almost exclusively driven by Asia and the impact of Coronavirus in China specifically. And on the EBITDA line, we expect more than $95 million. There’s an FF.X.headwind year-over-year of about $3 million. And so, we should show year-over-year EBITDA growth despite that impact on the top line, driven by margins from the mix. The assembly business is a lower-margin business, and we’ve talked about the cost savings. Again, our ability to preserve profitability in — on the context of a weaker or pressure on the top line.
Micron Technology Inc – Earnings Call – 3/25
Turning now to COVID-19’s effect on demand. COVID-19 significantly impacts China’s economic growth in the calendar first quarter, reflected in the sharp decline of smartphone and automobile unit sales. In addition, weaker sell-through of consumer electronics and our customers’ factory shutdowns in China were headwinds for us late in our fiscal second quarter. In China, lower consumer demand was offset by more robust data center demand due to increased gaming, e-commerce, and remote work activity. Looking to the third quarter, as these trends also take shape worldwide, data center demand in all regions looks strong, leading to supply shortages. In addition, we are seeing a recent increase in demand for notebooks used in the commercial and educational segments to support work from home and virtual learning initiatives occurring in many parts of the world. We are also encouraged to see manufacturers in China increasingly returning to total production, and we have recently started to see China’s smartphone manufacturing volumes recover. Nevertheless, as the world deals with the Outbreak of COVID-19, we expect that overall demand for smartphones, consumer electronics, and automobiles will be below our prior expectations for the second half of our fiscal 2020.
Nike – 8K – 3/25
As discussed in our press release issued on February 4, 2020, operations in Greater China were materially impacted due to COVID-19. In the third quarter, on a currency-neutral basis, Greater China revenues were down 4 percent following 22 consecutive quarters of double-digit growth. However, during the first two months of the third quarter, Greater China’s revenue grew double solid digits, offset by the impacts of COVID-19 beginning in late January. At the peak in February, roughly 75 percent of NIKE-owned and partner doors in Greater China were closed, with others operating on reduced hours. Currently, nearly 80 percent of entries are open in Greater China, with an even higher rate in key cities. In addition, beginning March 16, all NIKE-owned stores outside of Greater China, Japan, and Korea were closed to help curb the spread of COVID-19.
WW.H.Group – Earnings Call – 3/24
Question – Unidentified Analyst: [Interpreted] The question concerns the impact on both China and the UU.S.business caused by the coronavirus outbreak. I would like to know, particularly, the impact level on your packaged meat business? For example, what do you think about the volume for the entire year about this segment?
Answer – Luis Chein: [Interpreted] Well, Mr. Ma is offering his comments about the question.
Answer – Xiangjie Ma: [Interpreted] After the spring break in Mainland China, we have seen rather impacts caused by the virus outbreak. And we have seen a significant effect on the packaged meat business rather.
So basically, we are looking at relatively strong demand in the earlier stage after the Outbreak at the supermarket channel, and there are two reasons behind this. First of all, usually, when people are being quarantined at home, they would have this tendency to hold specific products at home. And at the same time, other channels are not open for business. So mainly, our consumers are gathering or purchasing the products at supermarkets.
And basically, the business we do is very closely related to people’s daily life. So after the Outbreak of the Coronavirus, the government has demanded we continue with what we do and provide a stable supply level.
And we do face two significant issues, and those issues have been resolved satisfactorily. The first issue we faced is that we have this insufficient level of attendance of our employees. And the second issue relates to logistics.
Indeed, at the beginning of the coronavirus outbreak, we have faced some significant challenges in delivering our products to our consumers. But we have quickly resolved that problem at a later stage.
And also because most of the sellers in our network have accumulated a certain level of inventory. So while there was some impact on product delivery at the beginning of this Outbreak, in the end, there was no severe impact on the terminal sales.
So while we saw a reduction in products delivered from our factories, there’s some kind of supplementation at the terminal level. And very quickly, we have caught up with the volume of sales that we lost at the beginning of the Outbreak.
So judging on the current market situation, we believe that the sales volume for packaged meat products will continue to maintain stable growth for the whole year. Thank you.
Airbus SS.E.- Conference Call – 3/23
Now when it comes to your question on customers, well, it’s very active. It’s very dynamic. It’s very case-by-case. We see a different types of behaviors, depending on where the airlines are located and how they are impacted. I mentioned before that we see a recovery of the flights, of the passenger traffic, I should say, in China. At the very bottom, it was, as far as I know, close to 15% compared to normal, so minus 85%. Mid of last week, several passengers was back to 30%, 3-0. So we see that this is picking up progressively.
In the rest of the world, the trend is the opposite, okay? So each airline is trying to assess its situation, find recovery, find the measures, and see very different kinds of problems. We are addressing this one by one. It’s premature to indicate what it will look like. That’s why we’ve decided to withdraw the guidance to give us time to assess and redefine the new plan.
CK Hutchinson Holdings Ltd – Earnings Call – 3/19
Of course, everyone will be interested, the impact of the COVID-19 on China, so I will give you an update. The virus has a significant effect on the business operation, particularly in February, when it’s at its peak, 64% of the stores have closed, representing over 2,500 stores. And then, because of this closure and the mall closure, the footfall traffic dropped 90%, and sales consequently dropped 80%. So this is a peak in February. But when we enter into March, we see a robust recovery. Until yesterday, we only had 4% of the store closed, with the remaining open and operating. So although the traffic is down, it improved from 90% down to 50% down. And also, if you look at sales number, which I think is immensely encouraging under the circumstances, the sales were down 80% from the ordinary level in February. And in March, it has recovered dramatically, now it’s 25% reduction only and improving daily.
Uber – Analyst Call – 3/19
We’re already seeing what we believe is the worst of the impact behind us and the beginnings of a recovery in some parts of our business. Hong Kong, for example, saw trips decline 45% from their peak but have ticked upwards consistently, now down to 30% from their mountains. All of this has happened over two months.
Our Eats business is a vital resource right now, especially for restaurants that containment policies have hurt. Even in Seattle, a community hit hard; the Eats business is still growing. And in the U.S., our small — our SMB sales team is now closing 2.5x the number of new restaurants we usually do per day. And our self-service restaurant website has seen a 10x increase in sign-ups since last Thursday. So eats is becoming more critical for its partners, and we expect to be there for them.
As you would expect, we’re also performing extensive stress testing with multiple scenarios that we’re running through. An extreme edge case scenario, where our Rides business declines 80% for the rest of the year with no recovery, shows us ending with $4 billion of unrestricted cash, not including access to over $2 billion from our revolver. We don’t expect this kind of edge case to happen, but we feel responsible for modeling it. Even in that edge case, our balance sheet remained strong.
Bayerische Motoren Werke AG – Earnings Call – 3/19
Answer – Nicolas Peter: Tim, what do you do as a company in such a situation? You work in scenarios to quantify the impact of the Coronavirus. So what did we do? We’ve developed — we used China, as Oliver said, as a blueprint. The situation in China started in December to deteriorate slightly. We had a powerful January in a declining market in China. February already, yes, down by between 80% and 90%. However, in March, we are back to 2/3 of our regular volume.
So, using this as a blueprint, we’ve identified three different scenarios: one, what I would call an optimistic best possible scenario; one very pessimistic; and the middle one, as you can imagine, in what I would call a likely scenario. And this scenario all — of course, not only includes volume impact. It has what could happen on the service side, parts business, used car prices, residual values, and so on. And this was then developed for all three major regions: Asia, Europe, and of course, the UU.S.
If we look at our cash situation, as I said, we are around EUR 17.4 billion liquidity at the end of 2019. This has not explicitly changed. It even slightly improved in 2019 despite EUR 2.3 billion dividend payout last year. And of course, as you can imagine, we’ve discussed what to do with the dividend payment, but we are confident that with our rigorous liquidity management on the one hand side with the measures we have already implemented in all parts of the organization that we will be able to manage this situation without cutting or yes, paying no dividend in 2020.
Starbucks – Investor Call – 3/18
Answer – Kevin R. Johnson: Thanks, Pat. Another question, Pat, for you. The question is, given how much is still unknown around COVID-19, do you have additional insights you can share about the short- and long-term financial impact of the virus on your business? And is the balance sheet solid, Pat?
Answer – Patrick J. Grismer: Thank you. There is still much that is unknown about the impact of COVID-19. But I would say what is known is how it has impacted our China business consistent with what we disclosed in our 8-K two weeks ago and what we continue to see by way of a recovery in our China business with each passing week demonstrating improvements in sales. And this provides us confidence that as COVID-19 impacts our UU.S.business, it too will have a temporary effect, and we will see a recovery over time. But it’s simply too early in the stage of COVID-19 in the UU.S.to speculate as to what that recovery curve will look like.
FedEx – Earnings Call – 3/17
Answer – Brie A. Carere: Yes, it’s a great question. Let me talk about our B2B base because it does vary around the world.
Here in the United States, as Raj mentioned, from a commercial business, we see that currently, to date, it is pretty stable. From an Asia perspective, we’re pretty optimistic. From a stock replenishment perspective, we have seen throughout March day-over-day, week-over-week improvements from a volume and the vast majority of what we have coming out of Asia; the vast majority is commercial traffic. What we talked about this morning, actually when we looked at the Chinese recovery, what we have seen is 90% to 95% of large manufacturers in China are now back to work in some capacity, closer to 65% to 70% of small businesses in Mainland China are coming back to work from a manufacturing perspective. So we believe the output is around 65% to 75%, and we see that rebound.
So from an Asia perspective, we feel perfect. Large customer leading, a small customer coming back from a China perspective. Europe, right now, we can’t predict because it has had the most change, I would say, in the last 24 to 48 hours. You’ve all seen the media. We anticipate incremental manufacturing closures in Europe by the end of the week. So we are expecting more softness there in Europe, but the UU.S.is strong, and Asia is in perfect shape as we speak today.
PPG Industries Inc – JPMorgan Industrials Conference – 3/12
Next and most topical — the most topical issue we have is the Coronavirus. Most important to PPG is the safety of our employees. We continue with an abundance of caution in all facets of the company. For example, we were one of the first companies to put travel restrictions in place, dating back to late January. From an overall business perspective, we’re a truly global company and have operations in major global regions. Regarding PPG and our customers, our China operations were impacted by corona for the first portion of February. Still, we’ve been continually progressing with a safe and orderly start-up of our operations since that period.
I’ll remind everybody that coatings are a batch operation. Coatings have very low capital intensity and have a high variable cost structure. We can quickly stop and start our operations without much operating cost penalty. In addition, we primarily make the customer demand, so we are typically not building inventory in our system when we’re down.
Just to give some context of the orderly start-up in China. Our China operations were running below 30% capacity utilization about three weeks ago. Today, we’re approaching 80% capacity utilization, again, solely based just on customer pull. We’ve evidence most of our large significant customers in China also conducting similar orderly start-ups.
Concerning raw material supply basis feedback we’ve received from many of our suppliers, most of our suppliers, both within and outside of China, have continued running their factories for the entire year at near-normal capacities. So we firmly believe there is, at a minimum, adequate raw material inventory in the system.
Adidas AG – Earnings Call – 3/11
Answer – Omar Regis Saad: A couple of questions. I wanted to start with a follow-up on Coronavirus and its impact in China. And I appreciate all the information you’ve given, and I also understand how difficult it is to forecast. Still, some of the dynamics in China might be useful to help us build a framework. In the markets outside of Wuhan, from that minus 80 kinds of trough level in markets outside of Wuhan, have you seen a bit of recovery or at least some signs of moving off the bottom? And is it different in different markets across China? This kind of data point might help us understand how it might flow through the rest of the world if it continues to spread.
And I also wanted to ask a question on the e-commerce business; it’s still massively growing well. You guys are doing a great job digitally. And as you think about it relative to your traditional wholesale and physical retail businesses, it continues to take share. Do you — over time, do you think you have to rethink that kind of split between stores and wholesale footprints as e-commerce continues to grow at this rate? Do you feel differently over time about your physical footprint across all the marketplaces out there globally?
Answer – Kasper Bo Rorsted: So let me try to the extent I’m capable of enlightening you more in China. There’s no doubt that Wuhan doesn’t — Wuhan is a closed city at this stage, so the trading in Wuhan is close to 0. And what we’re seeing is, of course, we are seeing a slight pickup, which you saw on the stores. We now have 7% of our stores up and running. So there is variance city-to-city. But at the worst point, everything was more or less closed down, not to the physical close down of the city of Wuhan, but from consumer behavior. Simply, the consumers did not go into stores. We’re now seeing that — we’re not saying returning to normal, but life is returning to normal. Our point is that you have a delayed impact in our business area because that was the point I was trying to make. If you’re in the food business, you’ve got to shop every 2 or 3 times a week to fill up your fridge. That is not the case right now when it comes to footwear. So we are seeing that pickup eventually will take place. We just have an assumption that we are at the end of the food chain. And there are certain areas if you were to break it down outside Wuhan, where they’re more, of course, hit by the China — by the Coronavirus, and you see then the negative impact and all. So it is a more diverse picture, with Wuhan being the worst one and us being at the end of the food chain. So we think that we will continue to see an improvement, which we’re seeing, but we see an improvement at a lower rate. That’s why the opening up of the actual number of stores is increasing, but we do not know the traffic that we saw in the past.
More like this
5 min read
7 min read